Thursday, March 5, 2015

Arfy's Ramblings

Great races to watch down the final stretch:

Wichita and Cincinnati are tied for the division lead.  Wichita has a more difficult schedule left.  Loser should still be a lock for the wildcard.

Milwaukee has a 2 game lead over New York.  New York has a more difficult schedule as they have to play Salem 4 times.  They also finish the season against each other with a 3 game series.  

Whoever loses the AL East race is not a shoe in for the Wildcard.  Fresno currently trails New York by 1 game.  Fresno has a lighter schedule than New York.  St. Louis trails Fresno by 2 games

And now on to rambling......
  • Wichita has a 83-68 record so far this season, but appears to really struggle on the road witha 40-37 record in away games.
  • What kind of roll is Salem on?  Vancouver is in second place in the division with a 87-64 record.  AND THEY ARE 29 GAMES OUT OF FIRST PLACE!  Holy smokes!
  • Salem is 32-13 in 1 run games this season
  • Boston is 16-23 in 1 run games.  There's a head scratcher for a first place team
  • What kind of season is Rochester's Blaine Moore having?  The man is hitting .374 and included a 27 game hitting streak this season.  39 hr and 138 rbi's.  Wow!
  • Other crazy numbers:  Salem's Rubby Prieto,  59 hr, 153 Rbi
  • Houston's Tony Tatis, 81 sb.  only 2 cs.
  • Can you believe that the league record for SB in a season is 166 by Brandon Cline back in season 5.
  • Pitcher with the most wins on a losing team?  Jamie Snow of St. Louis is 15-5 this season.
  • Fargo's Clint Green leads all hitters with 176 strikeouts.  He has 38 hr and 94 rbi's though.
  • Indy's Flash Redman is 1 for 14 stealing bases this season.  Ouch!
  • Vancouver pitching staff  has 11 complete games this season(There are 5 teams that have zero)
  • New York Damage Controllers lead the league with 146 errors this season.
  • Tampa Bay looks set to receive the #1 pick next season.  They have 56 wins.  The next closest has 62 wins.
This is the WTF are you thinking section:  (also known as the tanking section)

  • Why is Ross Glover even on a ML roster, Tampa?  Second straight season with an ERA over 6.
  • New Orleans Woody Castillo, second straight season with an ERA over 7. 
And a final tip of the cap to long time owner Starbuckdc.  Did you know Fargo won his division the first 13 seasons there?

Thursday, February 19, 2015

S30 Playoffs, League Leaders

Playoff Picture (if the season ended today)
*In the event of a tie, last season's record was used as a tie-breaker

By Current Record (52 games remaining):
AL North Champ: Milwaukee (63-47)
AL East Champ: Boston (63-47)
AL South Champ: Nashville (71-39)
AL West Champ: Salem (82-28)
AL Wildcard 1: Vancouver (66-44)
AL Wildcard 2: New York (57-53)
NL North Champ: Scranton (68-42)
NL East Champ: Cincinnati (59-51)
NL South Champ: Louisville (66-44)
NL West Champ: Seattle (68-42)
NL Wildcard 1: Texas (60-50)
NL Wildcard 2: Wichita (58-52)

AL Matchups:
(4) Milwaukee vs. (5) Vancouver
Winner faces (1) Salem

(3) Boston vs. (6) New York
Winner faces (2) Nashville

NL Matchups:
(4) Cincinnati vs. (5) Texas
Winner faces (1) Seattle

(3) Louisville vs. (6) Wichita
Winner faces (2) Scranton

Notes:
-Boston might view the #3 seed as a blessing…they have been upset for three consecutive seasons when receiving a first-round bye.
-New York would become the first AL North team to clinch a wild-card berth in 8 seasons.
-Vancouver advanced to game 7 of the World Series as a wild-card team last season.  They are currently 16 games behind Salem in the AL West, but still hold a better record than the #3 and #4 seeds in the AL.
-Seattle would earn their third straight #1 seed.  They were upset in the DCS during each of the past two seasons.
-Scranton has won the NL pennant for two consecutive seasons, both times as the #3 seed.
-Cincinnati is Pine Tar’s comeback team, after winning only 61 games last season.
-Who wouldn’t want to see an Arfy vs. Jibe playoff matchup?


By Exp PCT (Expected Winning Percentage) – determined by run differential:
AL North Champ: Milwaukee (.559)
AL East Champ: Boston (.633)
AL South Champ: Nashville (.679)
AL West Champ: Salem (.688)
AL Wildcard 1: St. Louis (.571)
AL Wildcard 2: Vancouver (.568)
NL North Champ: Scranton (.648)
NL East Champ: Wichita (.533)
NL South Champ: Louisville (.550)
NL West Champ: Seattle (.658)
NL Wildcard 1: Texas (.540)
NL Wildcard 2: Albuquerque (.505)

AL Matchups:
(4) Milwaukee vs. (5) St. Louis
Winner faces (1) Salem

(3) Boston vs. (6) Vancouver
Winner faces (2) Nashville

NL Matchups:
(4) Wichita vs. (5) Texas
Winner faces (1) Seattle

(3) Louisville vs. (6) Albuquerque
Winner faces (2) Scranton

Notes:
-St. Louis sneaks into the first wild-card spot, pushing Vancouver to the #6 seed and knocking New York out of the playoffs.  This would give the AL West three playoff teams.
-Wichita wins the NL East instead of Cincinnati, who would be out of the playoffs.  Albuquerque clinches the final wild-card berth to make their second playoff appearance in 14 seasons.


League Leaders:

Listed below are the Pine Tar Season 30 league leaders in various statistical catagories, their projected total after the remaining 52 games, and the Pine Tar all-time record holders for those categories.  Players who are on-track to tie or break a record have been noted with bold font.

Category League Leader - S30 Total Projected Total Pine Tar Record Holder - Total
Batting Average Blaine Moore (Roc) - .399 .399 Randy Podsednik - .398
Homeruns Rubby Prieto (Sal) - 43 63 Jim Blair - 69
Runs Batted In Rubby Prieto (Sal) - 111 163 Bob Wood - 203
Stolen Bases Tony Tatis (Hou) - 53 78 Brandon Kline - 166
Runs Scored Gus Justice (NY) - 104 153 Ronald Clyburn - 169
OPS % Blaine Moore (Roc) - 1.108 1.108 Frank Martin - 1.240
Pitching Wins Rock Randall (VC) - 17 25 Rich Meyers - 25
Earned Run Avr Tim Daubach (Sea) - 1.75 1.75 John Rucker - 1.79
WHIP Tim Daubach (Sea) - 0.93 0.93 Tim Daubach - 0.87
OAV Javier Carrasco (IA) - .200 .200 Tim Daubach - .177
Saves Juan Sierra (Sea) - 34 50 3 Tied - 54
Pitching Strikeouts Rock Randall (VC) - 152 224 Warren Hargrave - 273
Complete Games Eddie Plant (Wic) - 6 9 D.Shipley, W.Sizemore - 15
IF Plus Plays Vladimir Toregas (SWB) - 25 37 Travis Fiore - 40
OF Plus Plays Cliff Gray (Jac) - 16 24 Hank Truman - 37
OF Assists Napoleon Charles (Hou) - 9 13 Ariel Villano - 27
Caught Stealing % Cesar Durazo (Sal) - .64 .64 Nick Miles - .534

Thursday, February 12, 2015

Season 30 All-Star Blog

The Pine Tar Season 30 Midsummer Classic took place yesterday, as the National League defeated the American League by a score of 7-2.  Wichita's Bartolo Ortiz won MVP honors, thanks to a three-run double in the 6th inning.  Vinny Napoli (Seattle) was the winning pitcher, while Rock Randall (Vancouver) took the loss.  Homeruns were hit by Vladimir Molina (Texas), Eugenio Canseco (Scranton), and Harry Pizzaro (Albuquerque).  

Teams with the most All-Star selections:
Nashville Merchants - 7 (blapo21)
Albuquerque Komodo Dragons - 7 (csudak)
Salem Volcanoes - 6 (jkenned)
Seattle Strikers - 5 (ghutton9)
Scranton Red Barons - 4 (reggie988)
Boston Pilgrims - 3 (kjmulli)
Vancouver Canucks - 3 (skplayer07)
Cincinnati Firestorm - 3 (jbburner)

Teams with zero All-Star selections:
St. Louis Arch Angels
Florida Retirees
Tampa Bay Thunder
Fresno Grizzlies
Helena Copper Kings
Philadelphia Moneymakers
Louisville ARF ARF ARF ARF's
Colorado Springs Night Watchmen

All-Stars by Division
NL West - 13
AL West - 9
AL East - 8
AL South - 8
NL East - 7
NL North - 6
AL North - 5
NL South - 4

*Links are posted - click on an individual player's name to open their HBD profile

First Time All-Stars – American League
P - Tex Wagner (Magnitude)
P - Desi Gabriel (Merchants)
P - Mike Franklin (Volcanoes)
P - Malik Sele (Magnitude)
P - Alex Espinosa (Merchants)
P - Yuniesky Segui (Merchants)
C - Dion Pagnozzi (Zephyrs)
2B - Wendell Werth (Merchants)
3B - Bonne Brow (Pilgrims)
LF - Stone Bennett (Valhalla Varauders)
LF - Marvin Rose (Merchants)
RF - Avisail Martin (Volcanoes)
DH - Phil Yamamoto (Merchants)

First Time All-Stars – National League
P - Ryan Wilkins (Komodo Dragons)
P - Danys Telemaco (Juggernauts)
P - Ray Henry (Juice)
P - Eddie Plant (DwArf'y Mojados)
P - Gustavo Santos (Red Barons)
P - Ivan Carrasco (Hawkeyes)
P - Trevor Dubler (Firestorm)
C - Sean Cousins (Komodo Dragons)
C - Salvador Gallardo (Strikers)
1B - Dicky Stanley (GalvestonWave)
3B - Nigel Martin (Roughnecks)
3B - Eugenio Frieri (Firestorm)
LF - Vladimir Molina (GalvestonWave)
CF - Bartolo Ortiz (DwArf'y Mojados)
RF - Harry Pizzaro (Komodo Dragons)

All-Stars Making Their 5th Appearance or Greater
P - Carlos Flores (Juice): 8th Appearance
P - Juan Sierra (Strikers): 7th Appearance
C - Bengie Trajano (Doormats): 6th Apperance
P - Rickie Metcalfe (Wood Chippers): 6th Appearance
P - John McNamara (Strikers): 5th Appearance
SS - Jim Hawpe (Red Barons): 5th Appearance
RF - Carlos Zorrilla (Prairie Dogs): 5th Appearance

Sunday, February 1, 2015

Season 30's Rookie Class

Pine Tar has a strong rookie class this season, especially from an offensive standpoint.  The class includes three #1 draft picks and seven IFAs who were signed for greater than $15 million.  There are also some late first-round picks and cheap IFAs, who could turn out to be steals.  Below is a list of this season's notable rookies.  You can click on each player's name to view their HBD profile.  Interesting to note that five players belong to Nashville, four to Houston, and three to Wichita.  

Position Players

Draft/IFA: $16.3M IFA – S27
Stats: .313 BA, .389 OBP, 16 HR, 48 RBI, 5 Plus Plays

Draft/IFA: $25.1M IFA – S27
Stats: .342 BA, .413 OBP, 13 HR, 44 RBI, 6 Plus Plays

Draft/IFA: $15M IFA – S25
Stats: .316 BA, .382 OBP, 8 HR, 37 RBI, 6 Plus Plays

Draft/IFA: $22.9M IFA – S27
Stats: .347 BA, .407 OBP, 25 RBI, 8 SB

Draft/IFA: $21.4M IFA – S26
Stats: .314 BA, .394 OBP, 9 HR, 33 RBI

Draft/IFA: #49 Pick – S26
Stats: .318 BA, .360 OBP, 16 RBI, 8 SB, 4 Plus Plays

Draft/IFA: #1 Pick – S28
Stats: .302 BA, .368 OBP, 17 HR, 54 RBI, 9 SB, 5 Plus Plays

Draft/IFA: #44 Pick – S26
Stats: 27 RBI, 5 SB, 7 Plus Plays

Draft/IFA: #1 Pick – S26
Stats: .283 BA, .351 OBP, 19 HR, 50 RBI

Draft/IFA: $8.3M IFA – S25
Stats: .319 OBP, 27 RBI, 6 SB, 5 Plus Plays

Draft/IFA: #16 Pick – S25
Stats: .340 OBP, 24 RBI, 14 SB

Draft/IFA: $8.1M IFA – S23
Stats: 24 SB, 15 RBI

Draft/IFA: #1 Pick – S25
Stats: .297 BA, .391 OBP, 18 HR, 51 RBI

Draft/IFA: $16.9M IFA – S25
Stats: .297 BA, .341 OBP, 11 HR, 52 RBI

Pitchers

Draft/IFA: #36 Pick – S26
Stats: 5-1, 3.49 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, .240 OAV

Draft/IFA: $18.3M IFA – S28
Stats: 4-3, .230 OAV, 1.26 WHIP, 5.14 ERA

Draft/IFA: #20 Pick – S26
Stats: 6-4, 3.86 ERA, 1.37 WHIP

Draft/IFA: #22 Pick – S25
Stats: 12 Saves, 3.42 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, .214 OAV

Draft/IFA: #10 Pick – S27
Stats: 16 Saves, 1.37 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, .219 OAV

Draft/IFA: $8.8M IFA – S28
Stats: 3.86 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, .250 OAV

Draft/IFA: #34 Pick – S26
Stats: 2.60 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, .200 OAV

Draft/IFA: $1.5M IFA – S24
Stats: 2.34 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, .146 OAV, 3 Saves

Draft/IFA: $5.2M IFA – S26
Stats: 2.27 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, .252 OAV